Harpenden Town vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
73.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harpenden Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
HIT
5 - 0
HAT
69%
18%
13%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
RED
0 - 2
HAT
33%
21%
46%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
STO
3 - 0
HAT
36%
22%
43%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
HAT
0 - 6
LEV
35%
22%
44%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HAT
1 - 0
EDT
13%
16%
72%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
AVE
1 - 1
CRA
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
AVE
2 - 1
WEL
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
AVE
4 - 0
BAS
86%
9%
5%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SOH
1 - 1
AVE
13%
18%
69%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
AVE
0 - 0
BRE
84%
11%
6%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |