Harland & Wolff Welders vs Warrenpoint Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
5º
11º
7º
63
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
KNO
4 - 2
HAR
27%
23%
51%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 2
ARD
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 1
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
GLE
2 - 1
HAR
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 2
GLE
19%
19%
61%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
0 - 3
DUN
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 0
WAR
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 0
CAR
38%
23%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CLI
6 - 1
WAR
83%
13%
5%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
WAR
0 - 1
LAR
11%
17%
72%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |