Harju JK Laagri vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
67.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
10º
10º
79
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
KAL
3 - 1
HJP
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PAI
4 - 0
HJP
80%
14%
7%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 0
KAL
21%
25%
55%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 1
LEV
12%
22%
66%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 3
HJP
50%
25%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 0
KUR
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
FLO
14%
21%
65%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 2
FLO
13%
22%
66%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 0
TAL
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
KAL
0 - 0
FLO
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |