FA Cup .

Global 3-2
Harefield United Wembley
70 ELO 71
-28% Tilt -3%
17696º General ELO ranking 17474º
899º Country ELO ranking 836º
ELO win probability
34.1%
Harefield United
31%
Draw
34.9%
Wembley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
Harefield United
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
31%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
34.9%
Win probability
Wembley
1
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Wembley
Harefield United
Kempston Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Harefield United
Harefield United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2016
WEM
Wembley
1 - 1
Harefield United
HAR
49%
26%
25%
70 71 1 0
10 Aug. 2016
NOC
Northampton ON Chenecks
1 - 1
Harefield United
HAR
46%
27%
26%
70 70 0 0
06 Aug. 2016
HAR
Harefield United
1 - 1
Northampton ON Chenecks
NOC
46%
27%
26%
70 70 0 0
18 Aug. 2015
LON
Long Buckby
1 - 0
Harefield United
HAR
47%
27%
26%
70 70 0 0
15 Aug. 2015
HAR
Harefield United
2 - 2
Long Buckby
LON
46%
27%
26%
70 70 0 0

Matches

Wembley
Wembley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2016
WEM
Wembley
1 - 1
Harefield United
HAR
49%
26%
25%
71 70 1 0
06 Aug. 2016
WEM
Wembley
4 - 0
Daventry Town
DAV
44%
27%
28%
71 71 0 0
01 Sep. 2015
NOR
North Greenford United
5 - 1
Wembley
WEM
48%
27%
26%
71 72 1 0
29 Aug. 2015
WEM
Wembley
1 - 1
North Greenford United
NOR
47%
27%
26%
71 71 0 0
18 Aug. 2015
WEM
Wembley
2 - 1
Hillingdon Borough
HIL
48%
27%
26%
71 70 1 0