Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
31%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
34.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harefield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WEM
1 - 1
HAR
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
NOC
1 - 1
HAR
46%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
NOC
46%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
LON
1 - 0
HAR
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 2
LON
46%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wembley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WEM
1 - 1
HAR
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WEM
4 - 0
DAV
44%
27%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
NOR
5 - 1
WEM
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WEM
1 - 1
NOR
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
WEM
2 - 1
HIL
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |