Harefield United vs Lydney Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harefield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
KEM
3 - 2
HAR
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
WEM
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WEM
1 - 1
HAR
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
NOC
1 - 1
HAR
21%
21%
58%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
NOC
73%
16%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lydney Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
LYD
1 - 2
LYM
29%
21%
50%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LYM
2 - 2
LYD
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
LYD
5 - 3
WOO
29%
21%
50%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
WOO
0 - 0
LYD
60%
19%
21%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AFH
1 - 2
LYD
88%
8%
4%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | +2 |