Harefield United vs Baldock Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harefield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AYL
1 - 1
HAR
51%
22%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 0
CRA
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
HAT
0 - 0
HAR
64%
18%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
HAR
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 2
HAR
33%
22%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Baldock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NSA
6 - 1
BAL
90%
8%
3%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
HOL
84%
11%
6%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
AYL
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 3
LEI
17%
18%
66%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
5 - 0
TRI
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |