Harefield United vs Aylesbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harefield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 2
HAT
35%
22%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 5
HAR
23%
20%
56%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
4 - 0
DUN
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 1
LEI
20%
19%
61%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ARL
2 - 6
HAR
46%
21%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 0
AYL
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ARL
1 - 0
AYL
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 2
AYL
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AYL
0 - 6
NSA
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BRU
0 - 5
AYL
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |