Hard vs Nenzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
39.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
BIZ
4 - 2
HAR
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 1
AND
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LUD
1 - 2
HAR
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 0
MEI
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
SCR
2 - 1
HAR
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Nenzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
NEN
1 - 1
FCH
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
LOC
0 - 4
NEN
58%
19%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NEN
1 - 2
ALB
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SCG
0 - 0
NEN
44%
22%
35%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
NEN
2 - 2
FCH
81%
12%
8%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |