Hard vs Grödig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
18.5%
74.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
17.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
STJ
1 - 3
HAR
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 3
DOR
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SEE
3 - 3
HAR
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
USC
1 - 1
HAR
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 4
HOH
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 0
USC
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 33 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HOH
0 - 2
GRO
9%
19%
72%
|
71 | 27 | 44 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GRO
5 - 1
SCH
81%
14%
6%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 2
GRO
7%
18%
75%
|
71 | 32 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 0
FCW
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |