Hard vs Schruns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
18.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 3
HAR
17%
20%
63%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 0
BEZ
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 1
HAR
40%
24%
37%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
4 - 4
FCH
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 3
LOC
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Schruns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 4
FCH
37%
22%
42%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LOC
2 - 2
SCH
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 2
ALB
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SCG
2 - 1
SCH
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SCH
0 - 0
FCH
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |