Hard Rock vs St. John's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
48.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard Rock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
HAR
0 - 5
PAR
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
HAP
1 - 3
HAR
17%
19%
65%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
EAG
1 - 1
HAR
36%
24%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
EAG
1 - 1
HAR
34%
23%
42%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
HAR
0 - 1
FCC
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
St. John's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
EAG
0 - 3
JOH
19%
23%
59%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
MRI
0 - 2
JOH
17%
22%
60%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
EAG
0 - 3
JOH
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
JOH
3 - 0
GRE
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
JOH
3 - 0
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |