Harbour View vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
5º
4º
22
1º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harbour View
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 0
LIO
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FSC
1 - 5
HAR
37%
29%
35%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 0
DFC
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MPA
0 - 0
HAR
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 0
CMF
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 0
FSC
50%
25%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
DFC
4 - 1
TRI
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 2
MPA
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
CMF
2 - 0
TRI
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 0
VER
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |