Harborough Town vs Long Buckby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
4.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harborough Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 0
RUG
66%
17%
16%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LER
2 - 1
HAR
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
BUG
0 - 7
HAR
10%
14%
76%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HAR
5 - 0
NOC
89%
8%
3%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
COG
0 - 6
HAR
9%
15%
76%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Long Buckby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LON
3 - 2
PNS
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LON
1 - 4
EYN
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
LER
4 - 0
LON
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LON
5 - 1
BIG
53%
20%
27%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
LUT
5 - 4
LON
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |