Harborough Town vs Leamington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harborough Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 0
HAR
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
HAR
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HAR
4 - 2
STO
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 0
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 3
RED
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
LEA
4 - 1
OXF
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FAR
0 - 1
LEA
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LEA
1 - 0
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 1
LEA
44%
26%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
LEA
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |