Harborough Town vs Coleshill Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
6º
19º
7º
66
5º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 75 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
65 | 68 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
66 | 67 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
64 | 67 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
64 | 65 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
64 | 65 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 52 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 48 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
71% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 42 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 42 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 41 |
16º
|
46.5% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
24 | 24 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 49.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harborough Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALV
4 - 0
HAR
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BED
0 - 1
HAR
16%
18%
66%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
HAR
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LYE
1 - 2
HAR
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 1
DAV
81%
12%
8%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Coleshill Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
COL
1 - 2
CAM
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
COL
3 - 2
STN
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
COL
4 - 0
STN
44%
24%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
SUT
0 - 3
COL
33%
25%
43%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
SPA
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |