FA Cup . Previa 1
Global 3-0
Harborough Town vs Boston Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harborough Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BOS
0 - 0
HAR
12%
16%
72%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
STI
3 - 0
HAR
26%
21%
53%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 3
BED
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 2
HAR
14%
17%
69%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
HAR
6 - 0
LUT
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Boston Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BOS
0 - 0
HAR
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
DEE
1 - 1
BOS
58%
20%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BOS
2 - 2
QUO
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
BOS
1 - 1
SLE
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 1
BOS
4%
10%
87%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |