Hamworthy Recreation vs Poole Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
79.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poole Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
POO
5 - 2
MET
24%
25%
51%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
WIM
2 - 4
POO
13%
19%
68%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
POO
3 - 0
HAR
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 0
POO
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
POO
0 - 2
YAT
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |