Oberliga Hamburgo. Jor. 26

Hamm United FC vs TSV Sasel analysis

Hamm United FC TSV Sasel
15 ELO 37
10.3% Tilt -10.4%
10348º General ELO ranking 5389º
584º Country ELO ranking 179º
ELO win probability
8.3%
Hamm United FC
14.6%
Draw
77.1%
TSV Sasel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
Hamm United FC
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
77.1%
Win probability
TSV Sasel
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hamm United FC
-17%
-50%
TSV Sasel

Points and table prediction

Hamm United FC
Their league position
TSV Sasel
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
18º
16º
79
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
TSV Sasel
79
82
100%
Dassendorf
74
77
100%
Eimsbütteler TV
70
73
99%
Niendorfer TSV
67
70
65%
Altona 93
68
69
66%
Paloma Hamburg
63
63
100%
Süderelbe
54
57
59.5%
Wandsbeker Concordia
54
54
59.5%
HEBC Hamburg
10º
47
50
78%
Victoria Hamburg
48
48
10º
78%
TuRa Harksheide
11º
43
46
11º
90%
FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Aca
12º
41
41
12º
84.5%
Union Tornesch
13º
40
40
13º
92.5%
TSV Buchholz 08
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Rugenbergen
15º
35
35
15º
78.5%
Hamm United FC
16º
33
33
16º
68.5%
 Hamburger SV III
17º
31
31
17º
90%
Curslack-Neuengamme
19º
23
24
18º
54.5%
Tus Osdorf
18º
23
23
19º
54.5%
Expected probabilities
Hamm United FC
TSV Sasel
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
21.5% 0%
Relegation
78.5% 0%

ELO progression

Hamm United FC
TSV Sasel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamm United FC
Hamm United FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2023
HAM
Hamm United FC
0 - 0
Eimsbütteler TV
EIM
7%
13%
80%
16 41 25 0
28 Mar. 2023
HAM
Hamm United FC
4 - 2
TSV Buchholz 08
BUC
36%
22%
41%
15 17 2 +1
18 Mar. 2023
DAS
Dassendorf
2 - 1
Hamm United FC
HAM
91%
7%
2%
16 44 28 -1
24 Feb. 2023
HAM
 Hamburger SV III
2 - 0
Hamm United FC
HAM
78%
13%
9%
16 21 5 0
12 Feb. 2023
PAL
Paloma Hamburg
3 - 1
Hamm United FC
HAM
85%
10%
5%
16 31 15 0

Matches

TSV Sasel
TSV Sasel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2023
DAS
Dassendorf
0 - 1
TSV Sasel
SAS
65%
19%
16%
36 43 7 0
26 Mar. 2023
SAS
TSV Sasel
5 - 0
TSV Buchholz 08
BUC
89%
7%
3%
36 17 19 0
19 Mar. 2023
SAS
TSV Sasel
4 - 1
 Hamburger SV III
HAM
84%
10%
6%
37 21 16 -1
05 Mar. 2023
SAS
TSV Sasel
1 - 1
Niendorfer TSV
NIE
65%
17%
18%
38 35 3 -1
26 Feb. 2023
PAL
Paloma Hamburg
0 - 3
TSV Sasel
SAS
35%
22%
43%
36 32 4 +2
X