Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
10º
10º
43
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AYR
2 - 2
HAM
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
HAM
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 1
GRE
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 1
QUE
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 3
HAM
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
RAI
2 - 1
GRE
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
RAI
0 - 1
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
COV
2 - 0
RAI
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ABE
3 - 0
RAI
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
DUM
0 - 0
RAI
12%
20%
69%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |