Hamilton Academical vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
10º
7º
35
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
RAI
2 - 0
HAM
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
GRE
2 - 0
HAM
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
QUE
1 - 2
HAM
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
STJ
1 - 0
HAM
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
HAM
0 - 2
AYR
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 0
QUE
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LIV
0 - 0
DUN
62%
24%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ABE
3 - 0
DUN
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 2
LIV
26%
24%
51%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DUN
3 - 1
RAI
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |