Hamilton Academical vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
10º
10º
34
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 2
RAI
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AYR
2 - 2
HAM
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
HAM
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 1
GRE
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 1
QUE
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 2
QUE
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 2
ARB
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ARB
0 - 0
ICT
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AYR
0 - 0
ARB
22%
28%
50%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ARB
3 - 0
AIR
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |