Bundesliga Playoffs Promotion . Final
Global 1-2
Hamburger SV vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
HSV
44%
24%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ROS
2 - 3
HSV
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
HSV
2 - 1
HAN
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ING
0 - 4
HSV
13%
21%
66%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SSV
2 - 4
HSV
23%
24%
54%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
HSV
44%
24%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BVB
2 - 1
HER
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
M05
37%
25%
39%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 1
HER
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
STU
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |