Hamburger SV vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SGF
0 - 1
HSV
26%
24%
51%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
PAD
3 - 4
HSV
38%
24%
38%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
HSV
2 - 1
F95
29%
24%
48%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
SGD
4 - 1
HSV
21%
22%
57%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
HSV
2 - 0
HER
29%
25%
47%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HEI
33%
27%
41%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SGF
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
WUR
0 - 3
ERZ
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ULM
2 - 0
ERZ
11%
17%
72%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ERZ
0 - 1
SGD
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |