2. Bundesliga . Jor. 5

Hamburger SV vs Darmstadt 98 analysis

Hamburger SV Darmstadt 98
77 ELO 75
6.5% Tilt 24%
284º General ELO ranking 420º
20º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
45.1%
Hamburger SV
24%
Draw
30.9%
Darmstadt 98

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
Hamburger SV
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.9%
Win probability
Darmstadt 98
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hamburger SV
-2%
-13%
Darmstadt 98

Points and table prediction

Hamburger SV
Their league position
Darmstadt 98
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
67
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Darmstadt 98
67
67
100%
Hamburger SV
66
66
100%
Heidenheim
65
65
100%
FC St Pauli
58
58
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
58
58
100%
Paderborn
55
55
100%
Karlsruher SC
46
46
0%
Holstein Kiel
46
46
0%
Kaiserslautern
45
45
100%
Hannover 96
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Magdeburg
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Greuther Fürth
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Hansa Rostock
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Nürnberg
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Eintracht Braunschweig
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Arminia Bielefeld
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Jahn Regensburg
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Sandhausen
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Hamburger SV
Darmstadt 98
Champion
0% 100%
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hamburger SV
Darmstadt 98
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2022
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
0 - 2
Hamburger SV
HSV
26%
25%
50%
76 72 4 0
06 Aug. 2022
HSV
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
Heidenheim
HEI
53%
23%
24%
76 70 6 0
30 Jul. 2022
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 3
Hamburger SV
HSV
11%
16%
73%
76 53 23 0
24 Jul. 2022
HSV
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
Hansa Rostock
ROS
66%
20%
14%
76 64 12 0
17 Jul. 2022
EBT
Eintracht Braunschweig
0 - 2
Hamburger SV
HSV
19%
23%
58%
76 65 11 0

Matches

Darmstadt 98
Darmstadt 98
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2022
DAR
Darmstadt 98
4 - 0
Hansa Rostock
ROS
61%
22%
17%
74 64 10 0
07 Aug. 2022
EBT
Eintracht Braunschweig
0 - 1
Darmstadt 98
DAR
20%
23%
57%
74 63 11 0
01 Aug. 2022
ING
Ingolstadt 04
0 - 3
Darmstadt 98
DAR
15%
19%
67%
74 60 14 0
22 Jul. 2022
DAR
Darmstadt 98
2 - 1
Sandhausen
SVS
58%
23%
20%
73 65 8 +1
16 Jul. 2022
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
2 - 0
Darmstadt 98
DAR
21%
23%
57%
74 62 12 -1
X