Halmstads vs IK Sirius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
14º
12º
41
3º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halmstads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HIF
1 - 0
HAL
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 0
NOR
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 2
KAL
25%
27%
48%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
GÖT
1 - 1
HAL
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 1
ELF
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SIR
4 - 1
ELF
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 2
SIR
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HÄC
2 - 0
SIR
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 1
AIK
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 2
BRO
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |