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Swedish Allsvenskan. Matchday 9

Halmstads vs BK Derby analysis

Halmstads BK Derby
61 ELO 62
82% Tilt -75%
650º General ELO ranking 20614º
12º Country ELO ranking 228º
ELO win probability
87.5%
Halmstads
10.2%
Draw
2.2%
BK Derby

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
Halmstads
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
11%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
16.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.9%
2-0
19.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.5%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
10.2%
2.2%
Win probability
BK Derby
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Halmstads
-3%
-69%
BK Derby

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Malmö
53
53
100%
Kalmar
43
43
100%
Norrköping
42
42
100%
Elfsborg
41
41
50%
Landskrona
41
41
50%
IFK Göteborg
36
36
50%
Hammarby IF
36
36
50%
Halmstads
33
33
50%
Osters IF
33
33
50%
Djurgårdens
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Orebro SK
11º
28
28
12º
50%
AIK Solna
12º
28
28
11º
50%
GIF Sundsvall
13º
25
25
13º
100%
BK Derby
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Halmstads
BK Derby
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Halmstads
HAL
BK Derby
BKD
Osters IF
OIF
Hammarby IF
HIF
Kalmar
KAL
IFK Göteborg
GÖT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Halmstads
Halmstads
1%
X%
2%
ELO HAL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 May. 1977
MFF
Malmö
2 - 1
Halmstads
HAL
57%
23%
19%
1422 1946 524 -4
22 May. 1977
HAL
Halmstads
0 - 0
Kalmar
KAL
45%
27%
28%
1422 1489 -67 0
15 May. 1977
GIF
GIF Sundsvall
2 - 0
Halmstads
HAL
46%
27%
28%
1434 1299 -135 -12
07 May. 1977
HAL
Halmstads
4 - 0
Norrköping
NOR
47%
27%
26%
1420 1483 -63 +14
01 May. 1977
LAN
Landskrona
3 - 1
Halmstads
HAL
51%
26%
23%
1430 1505 75 -10

Matches

BK Derby
BK Derby
1%
X%
2%
ELO BKD ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 May. 1977
BKD
BK Derby
0 - 0
IFK Göteborg
GÖT
47%
27%
26%
1480 1428 52 -1
23 May. 1977
DJU
Djurgårdens
2 - 1
BK Derby
BKD
47%
27%
26%
1486 1537 51 -7
15 May. 1977
ELF
Elfsborg
4 - 0
BK Derby
BKD
46%
27%
27%
1500 1385 -115 -14
07 May. 1977
BKD
BK Derby
1 - 0
AIK Solna
AIK
45%
27%
28%
1493 1569 -76 +7
04 May. 1977
BKD
BK Derby
0 - 0
Hammarby IF
HIF
54%
25%
21%
1495 1250 245 -2