Conference League qualifiers Playoffs. Final
Global 2-6
HNK Hajduk Split vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 1
LOK
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 2
HKS
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DZG
4 - 1
HKS
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 0
HKS
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
HKS
3 - 1
VIT
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ATM
0 - 2
VIL
39%
26%
36%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 2
HKS
67%
19%
14%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VAD
0 - 3
VIL
19%
22%
59%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
INT
2 - 4
VIL
65%
19%
16%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 1
LEV
70%
17%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |