Qualif. Champions Segunda ronda. Final
Global 3-4
HNK Hajduk Split vs Shelbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2004 |
HKS
1 - 1
IST
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
HKS
1 - 0
DZG
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
HKS
2 - 0
NKV
58%
23%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
OSI
0 - 1
HKS
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
HKS
2 - 0
RIJ
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
SHE
4 - 1
FIN
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
SHE
0 - 0
KRR
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
SHE
0 - 2
DRO
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
KRR
2 - 2
SHE
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
DER
0 - 0
SHE
21%
28%
52%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |