Copa America Grupo B. Jor. 1

Haiti vs Peru analysis

Haiti Peru
70 ELO 86
-12% Tilt 0.5%
1300º General ELO ranking 116º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
17.2%
Haiti
23.7%
Draw
59.1%
Peru

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
Haiti
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
59.1%
Win probability
Peru
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Haiti
-3%
-1%
Peru

ELO progression

Haiti
Peru
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Haiti
Haiti
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 May. 2016
COL
Colombia
3 - 1
Haiti
HTI
82%
14%
4%
71 92 21 0
30 Mar. 2016
PAN
Panama
1 - 0
Haiti
HTI
58%
24%
18%
71 82 11 0
26 Mar. 2016
HTI
Haiti
0 - 0
Panama
PAN
26%
28%
46%
71 82 11 0
08 Jan. 2016
TTO
Trinidad and Tobago
0 - 1
Haiti
HTI
56%
23%
22%
70 76 6 +1
18 Nov. 2015
HTI
Haiti
0 - 1
Jamaica
JAM
32%
27%
41%
70 77 7 0

Matches

Peru
Peru
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 May. 2016
PER
Peru
3 - 1
El Salvador
SLV
75%
18%
7%
86 67 19 0
24 May. 2016
PER
Peru
4 - 0
Trinidad and Tobago
TTO
64%
22%
15%
86 76 10 0
30 Mar. 2016
URY
Uruguay
1 - 0
Peru
PER
72%
18%
10%
86 91 5 0
25 Mar. 2016
PER
Peru
2 - 2
Venezuela
VEN
52%
25%
23%
86 82 4 0
18 Nov. 2015
BRA
Brazil
3 - 0
Peru
PER
82%
13%
5%
86 97 11 0
X