Haiti vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
73.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.3%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
HTI
2 - 1
QAT
18%
23%
59%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
HTI
3 - 1
BMU
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MSR
0 - 4
HTI
6%
13%
81%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
HTI
6 - 0
GUY
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
GUY
2 - 6
HTI
17%
21%
62%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
MEX
4 - 0
HND
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
PAN
0 - 1
MEX
15%
23%
63%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
MEX
46%
25%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 2
CMR
71%
19%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 0
GTM
77%
16%
7%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |