Hagen Ahrensburg vs Hartenholm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
DOR
1 - 0
HAG
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
HAG
1 - 3
PRE
27%
23%
50%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
HAG
2 - 3
KRO
14%
19%
67%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
HAG
0 - 3
TOD
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 0
HAG
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hartenholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 2
EIC
12%
18%
69%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 0
NTS
18%
21%
61%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
LUB
1 - 3
HAR
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
HUL
5 - 1
HAR
67%
17%
15%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 4
HOL
11%
18%
72%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | -1 |