Hadley vs Fairford Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hadley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
HAD
2 - 3
FCR
80%
13%
8%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 4
HAD
21%
20%
59%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 9
HAD
9%
15%
76%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
HAD
1 - 4
EAS
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -3 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
EAS
0 - 0
HAD
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Fairford Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
LON
5 - 1
FAI
65%
18%
17%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
FAI
1 - 1
LON
23%
20%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FAI
1 - 5
CHU
13%
18%
70%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
FAI
54%
21%
25%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |