Hadley vs Arlesey Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hadley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
HAD
2 - 0
HOD
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HAD
4 - 2
RED
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
HAD
0 - 1
LEV
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LEV
0 - 0
HAD
23%
20%
57%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
HAD
1 - 0
BTS
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
ARL
2 - 0
PNS
58%
19%
23%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
ARL
1 - 0
NEW
20%
20%
60%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 2
ARL
76%
14%
10%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ARL
3 - 4
DES
43%
21%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ARL
0 - 2
UXB
14%
18%
69%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |