Häcken vs IF Elfsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
13º
7º
32
1º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 61 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 51 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 51 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 46 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 44 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 44 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 40 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 34 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3% | 37% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Häcken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
HÄC
2 - 1
AND
39%
24%
38%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
HÄC
1 - 6
DJU
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
AND
1 - 0
HÄC
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
HAL
0 - 0
HÄC
21%
24%
56%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
HÄC
2 - 2
TNV
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
ELF
4 - 3
GÖT
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
DJU
1 - 0
ELF
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
GÖT
1 - 2
ELF
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
ELF
0 - 2
HÄC
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
0 - 0
ELF
22%
25%
53%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |