Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 3-0
Häcken vs FC Honka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Häcken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
MJÄ
1 - 2
HÄC
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
HÄC
5 - 1
KAE
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
HÄC
6 - 0
MJÄ
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
KAE
1 - 1
HÄC
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2011 |
DJU
1 - 0
HÄC
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
HON
1 - 1
MYP
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
KAL
0 - 2
HON
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
HON
2 - 3
INT
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
HON
0 - 0
KAL
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
JJK
2 - 2
HON
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |