HFC Haarlem vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
AZA
2 - 0
HFC
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
PSV
3 - 2
HFC
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
HFC
1 - 0
UTR
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
GAE
2 - 0
HFC
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
HFC
0 - 3
FEY
13%
21%
66%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
GRA
2 - 1
UTR
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
GAE
2 - 0
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
GRA
1 - 6
FEY
19%
21%
60%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
RJC
2 - 0
GRA
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
GRA
2 - 1
AMS
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |