HFC Haarlem vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
HFC
3 - 0
TWE
56%
22%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
AJA
5 - 1
HFC
89%
8%
4%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
HFC
0 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
BOS
3 - 0
HFC
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
HFC
4 - 1
NEC
68%
21%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
EXC
0 - 1
UTR
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
FEY
2 - 1
EXC
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
EXC
0 - 1
GAE
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
RJC
3 - 1
EXC
68%
19%
14%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
EXC
3 - 0
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |