HFC Haarlem vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1987 |
HFC
1 - 0
SPA
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
RJC
4 - 1
HFC
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
GRO
4 - 0
HFC
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
BOS
0 - 1
HFC
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
HFC
0 - 2
ZWO
57%
22%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
BOS
2 - 1
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
AZA
5 - 1
GRO
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
AZA
2 - 2
ZWO
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
WIL
3 - 0
AZA
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
AZA
2 - 2
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |