Gutiérrez vs FADEP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gutiérrez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AME
0 - 0
GUT
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GUT
4 - 0
LSC
71%
16%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
3 - 1
GUT
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GUT
2 - 1
JUV
56%
25%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
FAD
3 - 0
GUT
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -3 |
Matches
FADEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LSC
0 - 0
FAD
23%
21%
55%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FAD
1 - 1
AME
45%
24%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
FAD
3 - 0
GUT
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
GUT
3 - 0
FAD
56%
24%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
AGA
1 - 1
FAD
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |