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Oberliga. Westfalen, Matchday 1

Gutersloh vs Finnentrop/Bamenohl analysis

Gutersloh Finnentrop/Bamenohl
6 ELO 9
10% Tilt 5%
11778º General ELO ranking 12955º
425º Country ELO ranking 537º
ELO win probability
48.4%
Gutersloh
25.2%
Draw
26.4%
Finnentrop/Bamenohl

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
Gutersloh
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.4%
Win probability
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gutersloh
25
56
9%
Holzwickeder
18
52
6%
Westfalia Rhynern
18
50
6%
Sprockhövel
18
51
6%
ASC 09 Dortmund
18
49
6%
Kaan-Marienborn
16
49
5%
Meinerzhagen
15
47
5%
SpVgg Vreden
14
45
5%
Wattenscheid 09
14
45
5%
Siegen Sportfreunde
10º
14
44
10º
5%
Preußen Münster II
11º
12
43
12º
5%
Ennepetal
12º
11
44
11º
5%
TuS Haltern
13º
10
40
16º
5%
Erndtebrück
14º
9
41
13º
5%
Paderborn 07 II
15º
8
40
14º
5%
Schermbeck
16º
7
40
15º
5%
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
17º
7
37
18º
5%
Eintracht Rheine
18º
7
37
19º
6%
Victoria Clarholz
19º
6
39
17º
6%
Westfalia Herne
20º
1
33
20º
7%
Hammer SpVg
21º
0
32
21º
8%
Expected probabilities
Gutersloh
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
Champion
9% 4%
Promotion
6% 4%
Mid-table
67% 64%
Relegation
18% 28%

ELO progression

Gutersloh
GUT
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
SFB
Preußen Münster II
PRE
Westfalia Herne
WHE
Victoria Clarholz
TVC
Wattenscheid 09
WAT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gutersloh
Gutersloh
1%
X%
2%
ELO GUT ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2020
GUT
Gutersloh
4 - 2
Espelkamp
ESP
22%
24%
54%
67 1186 -1119 +62
15 Aug. 2020
VFL
Theesen
5 - 1
Gutersloh
GUT
72%
18%
11%
81 1175 1094 -14
12 Aug. 2020
GUT
Gutersloh
1 - 3
Wiedenbrück
WIE
44%
27%
29%
126 212 -86 -35

Matches

Finnentrop/Bamenohl
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
1%
X%
2%
ELO SFB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2020
LIP
Lippstadt 08
3 - 1
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
SFB
47%
27%
26%
114 193 79 -35
16 Aug. 2020
SFB
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
2 - 4
Rot Weiss Ahlen
RWA
39%
28%
34%
147 326 -179 -33