Güssing vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Güssing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
PIN
0 - 2
GUS
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GUS
2 - 4
STG
21%
23%
56%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SIG
2 - 0
GUS
31%
23%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
DRA
3 - 1
GUS
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUS
0 - 4
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
BAU
2 - 3
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
5 - 4
BAU
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
BAU
3 - 3
STM
55%
21%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
NEU
4 - 1
BAU
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
BAU
1 - 4
PUR
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |