Güssing vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Güssing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
NEU
0 - 3
GUS
43%
25%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
GUS
0 - 2
ASK
43%
25%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 0
GUS
27%
25%
49%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GUS
1 - 0
OBE
18%
24%
58%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
KLI
0 - 5
GUS
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
BAU
0 - 0
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
UFC
3 - 1
BAU
17%
23%
60%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SVS
1 - 0
BAU
18%
23%
59%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SCO
2 - 1
BAU
21%
24%
56%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
BAU
8 - 0
JEN
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |