Gungahlin vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
52.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gungahlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
COO
4 - 0
GUN
38%
24%
39%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
QCS
0 - 0
GUN
7%
12%
81%
|
47 | 11 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TUG
0 - 0
GUN
13%
19%
69%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GUN
0 - 1
COO
57%
22%
22%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GUN
1 - 1
CAN
35%
23%
41%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
CAN
5 - 0
QCS
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 15 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CAN
6 - 1
YOO
77%
14%
9%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
OKF
1 - 4
CAN
34%
23%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GUN
1 - 1
CAN
35%
23%
41%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
CAN
23%
22%
55%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |