Gumefens / Sorens vs Bern 1894 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gumefens / Sorens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BUM
1 - 4
GUM
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GUM
7 - 2
LER
36%
24%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 3
GUM
66%
19%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
GUM
1 - 3
BEL
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 63 | 46 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
GUM
4 - 2
TPA
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BER
4 - 1
DUR
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LAU
3 - 1
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BER
0 - 1
POR
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BER
5 - 2
TPA
59%
22%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCE
1 - 3
BER
22%
23%
56%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |