Guizhou Zhicheng vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
49.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guizhou Zhicheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 1
LIA
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
HUB
1 - 2
GUI
31%
27%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 1
TIA
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DAL
2 - 0
GUI
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 1
GUI
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
BEI
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
LOK
1 - 1
BEI
57%
25%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
DYN
1 - 0
BEI
72%
17%
10%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
BEI
3 - 1
HEN
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 0
BEI
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |