FA Cup .
Global 3-2
Beijing Renhe vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Renhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 1
DAL
45%
23%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 5
SHA
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
HAN
3 - 0
GUI
34%
29%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
DAL
1 - 2
GUI
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
4 - 2
LIA
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
6 - 3
BEI
67%
19%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BEI
0 - 1
GUA
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
FCS
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
5 - 0
WUZ
87%
9%
3%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 1
GUA
17%
23%
60%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |