Guiseley vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
43.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 1
ALF
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
UNM
3 - 3
GUI
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 1
GUI
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 1
STO
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
GUI
4 - 5
BOS
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 0
UNM
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
STO
3 - 2
SOU
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
DAR
0 - 0
SOU
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SOU
5 - 3
CHO
29%
25%
47%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 4
AFC
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |