Guiseley vs Matlock Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
GUI
4 - 0
BLY
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
GUI
4 - 0
ATH
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CHE
0 - 1
GUI
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 5
STO
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 2
HAL
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Matlock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MAT
4 - 1
ASH
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
GRA
0 - 1
MAT
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
MAT
2 - 2
BAS
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MAT
2 - 0
RFC
45%
24%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
QUO
0 - 2
MAT
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |