Guiseley vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
GUI
5 - 0
WHI
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
LEE
1 - 1
GUI
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
GUI
1 - 1
FLE
19%
23%
59%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
WIT
2 - 2
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
BUR
1 - 0
GUI
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2006 |
ASH
3 - 4
HED
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
HED
1 - 1
NOR
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
HED
1 - 2
MAT
39%
25%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
RAD
0 - 1
HED
48%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 2
HED
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |