Guiseley vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
59.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
GUI
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
GUI
0 - 2
WRE
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
DOV
2 - 1
GUI
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
FYL
2 - 1
GUI
77%
15%
9%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
EAS
4 - 2
GUI
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
GAT
1 - 2
FYL
35%
25%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
GAT
3 - 0
MAI
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MAI
2 - 2
GAT
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
GAT
0 - 0
WRE
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
GAT
2 - 1
MAI
54%
23%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |